If Ukraine And Europe Have Strong Plan, Trump Will Take Their Side

Putin's threat to send American troops to Ukraine is a good start.

Vance said that America could send troops to Ukraine if Putin continues the war. And he recalled the need to force Russia to make peace: “There are economic levers of pressure, there are, of course, military levers,” Vance said. “There are many formulations and configurations. But we care about Ukraine having sovereign independence.”

Vance explained that Trump “may change his mind on certain issues.”

At the same time, Kellogg's deputy special envoy John Cole (an official) said that the United States did not reject the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO and returning to the 1991 borders.

That is, it is clear that Trump has chosen the tactics of a bad and good cop to alternate between the stick and the carrot. Agree that this is not the way to behave with secret friends with whom you want to “resolve issues” behind Ukraine's back.

Zelensky is right: Trump has no precise plan, which means that he will drift towards the strong. In the hope of pushing through the weak side. But if Ukraine and Europe decide to take a strong and united position, then Trump will take their side. He will push through the “weakling”. But who it will be — it is impossible to say in advance.

That is why he chose the “swing” tactic (promises, flattery and threats). Whoever “floats” under the pressure first will lose.

That is why I will repeat what is obvious to me: 1. Trump will not be able to make any deals without Ukraine and Europe. So a get-together with Putin is a dead-end story. This is a complete bummer for Putin. 2. It is not at all a fact that Trump will consider the position of Ukraine and Europe weak, not strong, and will not take their side. Because Putin has no aces up his sleeve, his country is bankrupt (in all respects, from the economy to military resources). What's the point of helping a bankrupt? On the contrary, “push a falling one”.Trump will support the side he considers strong, so the whole struggle for a strong position is just beginning.

The moans: “everything is lost, boss,” “Ukraine has been dumped,” “Ukraine no longer exists” are very premature. Just don't take Trump's every sneeze literally. He will continue to juggle the carrot and stick — this is a way to persuade a partner to a deal. And no one doubts that it will be Putin (as the owner of the military mountain, with the keys to peace) who will have to be persuaded.

No one knows in advance how things will end. Neither does Trump himself. But the Europeans are not fools, they do not want a new war in five years, so (my forecast) Europe will support Ukraine as much as possible, forcing Trump to act together, achieving peace through force.

The threat to Putin (who has already poured himself some champagne) to send American troops to Ukraine is a good start. The fact that Putin's BRICS has been declared dead is even better.

We will continue to watch the long “swings”. But I believe that the European-Ukrainian power potential is much greater than the Russian one.

I have no doubt that Trump will take the side of strength. And how much Putin's impoverished Russia, which is going crazy, can look strong, everyone can decide for themselves.

Alexander Khots, Telegram

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